Tuesday, April 26, 2011

VRTX dissection

The following charts show some VRTX trades today. Start at the first VRTX post and work your way up. Here are my thoughts:
20 minutes after I log on I see VRTX blasting into orbit making new highs. Lots of volume usually means a stock is in play so I grab some, then quickly double up as the trade starts working. Volume keeps pouring in, prices are making new highs.
In my morning visualizations I see in my minds eye this very trade(I don't know when or in what stock it will happen though, only that it will). I'm waiting for human emotion and robot action to play itself out, I'm viewing the scene as a detached observer trusting in these probabilities.
This gravy train won't last forever, I already have a $ 7 gainer, time to GTFO right now before a new 5 minute candle starts. Sell to the late comers and undecided. Nice trade. Nice plan following and profit I say to myself.
If I think the long momentum is stalling then there is only 1 option open to me according to my edge - take it short. Set a stop just above the high.
Sure enough I see a hint of a red candle. I double up immediately when it just hangs there. Down it plunges more than $2 for a $4 gain. As it falls below the former low of the last big up candle I can see all the stops get taken out placed by the hopers and dreamers thinking its going to keep going straight up forever. This is my cue to cover, take profits and go long again. Set a stop just below the low. It is an opportune time to do so. I went over the visualization of this exact play a hour earlier while laying in bed.
I notice the volume dropping. Less emotions in the market now, more control, be careful. Take another $3.50 gain.
Short it again with a stop above the previous candle high. It's wishy washy, tighten the stop, wait, wait,wait, get stopped out. Nice trade and congratulate myself for keeping the loss small. Recall the stop out visualization that I practiced a hour earlier.
This is my edge. Playing on the greed and fear until those waves get too small to be of any use. It's common sense to take profits like that when they are offered. Thats why were here. Watching the clock for candle changes, watching the volume for overall interest. Playing on the winning side by applying my simple method. 100 % focus on the clues. Taking action based on probabilities.


VRTX


short VRTX


















stopped out on VRTX

VRTX


bot VRTX again on that pullback



















sold VRTX

VRTX



short VRTX after that pop
















added to it as it hung there


















cover VRTX take profits

VRTX


bot VRTX


















sold VRTX $4 pop